26 September 2009

Hawks and Crocs come out on top in Friday Night Fights

Hawks/Wildcats

The Wollongong Hawks survived poor late game foul shooting to pull off a narrow 94-92 win over the Perth Wildcats Friday night on their home court.

A brilliant debut outing by Hawks import Tywain McKee nearly went for naught when the Hawks missed their last five free throw attempts. With the 'Gong up 94-89 and 28 seconds on the clock, Perth's Martin Cattalini knocked down a three pointer after an inbounds pass theft to make the score 94-92. Scott Redhage could not connect on a miracle heave from half court as time expired leaving the Hawks with a shaky win.

McKee sliced and diced his way to 22 points, 7 assists and only 1 turnover. Big man Cameron Tragardh had a solid 20 point/10 rebound game while Glen Saville (17 points), Matt Campbell (16 points) and Rhys Martin (11 points) rounded out a balanced Hawks attack. The team was 12 out of 22 from three point land.

A key to the game was the Hawks limiting Perth's 14 foot of centre -- Paul Rogers and Luke Schenscher to a paltry combined total of 14 points and 7 rebounds.

The Wildcats were led by Redhage (20 points/8 rebounds), Kevin Lisch (12 points), Schenscher (11 points), Martin Cattalini (10 points) and Jesse Wagstaff (10 points) were tops for the 'Cats.

The highlight of the match was a rare as hen's teeth four point play near halftime by Hawk Campbell.

Crocs/Blaze

A three point attempt by James Harvey rimmed out as time expired leaving the Gold coast on the short end of a 82-79 score in the tight match on the Gold Coast.

In his NBL return Roland Roberts had 11 points and an intimidating 13 rebounds along with 2 steals to go with his shut down the inside defensive effort for the Crocs. Corey "Homicide" Williams had an influential performance scoring 15 points, dishing out 8 assists and grabbing 6 rebounds from the point guard slot.

The game was nip and tuck until a late Crocs run of a three pointer by Peter Crawford, a smooth jumper by Kelvin Robertson and a steal/basket combo by Roberts gave the visitors an edge before Harvey's final attempt.

Other contributors for Townsville were Mark Cedar (15 points), Stephen Hoare (13 points/5rebounds) and Brad Willamson (13 points).

The Blaze were led by Harvey (24 points), new import Ayinde Ubaka (19 points/8 assists) and Anthony Petrie (12 points).

This weeks NBL action wraps up tonight with Adelaide visiting Cairns.

25 September 2009

Breakers spank Snakes to open NBL season

Pre season favourites the New Zealand Breakers opened the season with a comprehensive 95-75 thrashing of the Cairns Taipans.

The area behind the three point arc proved to be the proverbial "land of plenty" indeed or maybe the "land of Penny and Bruton" as Kirk Penny connected on 8 of 11 shots from long range on his way to a team high 32 points and C.J. Bruton put in a near perfect 8 from 9 three pointers in scoring 28 points for the match. Overall the New Zealand out fit shot an amazing 58% from deep.

The Breakers ran into early foul trouble on their way to a narrow 22-18 quarter time lead but steadily pulled away from there.

In the end Cairns shot a paltry 39 percent from the field and from three point land while New Zealand shot 53% from the field in addition to their scorching outside total.

In support of the Penny/Bruton show, Thomas Abercrombie chipped in with 11 points. Dillon Boucher was a solid if not spectacular contributor with 7 rebounds and 6 assists. Former Breaker Phil Jones led the Snakes with 24 points while Julien mills chipped in with 16 points/6rebounds and Richard Melzer added 12.

Cairns returns home to face the Adelaide 36ers on Saturday night with hopes for a better result.

24 September 2009

NBL Team Previews

From yesterday, here are further team previews from today's post on the NBL Website.

Season Preview - Adelaide

ADELAIDE 36ERS SEASON PREVIEW
Last season: 15-15, sixth in regular season, lost to New Zealand in NBL quarter-finals
Points For: 98.6ppg, third
Field Goal Percentage: 45.0%, fifth
Rebounds: 45.8rpg, first
Assists: 21.1apg, third
Steals: 5.7spg, seventh
Blocked Shots: 4.3bpg, second
NBL Titles: Four (1986, 1998, 1999, 2002)
NBL Playoff Appearances: 21 (last time 2009)
Homecourt: Distinctive Homes Dome, capacity 7800
Head Coach: Scott Ninnis (2nd season with Adelaide, career record 15-15)
Incoming: John Gilchrist (import), Cortez Groves (import), Matthew Burston, Darren Ng, Nathan Herbert, Chris Molitor
Outgoing: Brett Maher, Luke Schenscher, Rod Grizzard (import), Aaron Bruce, Brad Davidson, Ryan Kersten, Paora Winitana
Projected Starters: John Gilchrist (import), Cortez Groves (import), Jacob Holmes, Adam Ballinger, Matthew Burston
Bench: Brad Hill, Nathan Herbert, David Cooper, Darren Ng, Chris Molitor

It’s the beginning of a new era for one of the National Basketball League’s most storied franchises.

After a magnificent career that spanned 19 glorious seasons and included three championships, two Grand Final MVPs and other accolades too numerous to mention here, the great Brett Maher decided to hang ’em up at the end of the 2008/09 campaign.

It will be very strange to see a 36er team out there without the famed number five. He goes out as the greatest player in franchise history, surpassing other luminaries such as Mark Davis, ‘Mean’ Al Green and Darryl ‘Iceman’ Pearce, and has left a legacy of excellence that will be hard to live up to.

Maher’s loss and that of seven foot giant Luke Schenscher in the offseason headlined no fewer than six changes to an Adelaide squad that struggled for consistency and never really made an impact in 08/09.

They survived the controversial departure of uber-import Julius Hodge, just made the playoffs with a .500 regular season record and were quickly dispatched by the New Zealand Breakers in the very first game of the postseason.

It wasn’t a great start for rookie head coach Scott Ninnis, and he’ll be looking for more out of his largely retooled lineup in 2009/2010.

An all-new Sixer backcourt is headlined by former University of Maryland standout John Gilchrist, a guy who on talent alone could dominate the league. He’s joined by the always explosive Cortez Groves, who is on his third stop in the NBL after stints with Wollongong and the defunct South Dragons.

They’ll be the focal point of a squad that historically has been an up and down fast breaking club which loves to put a ton of points on the board, and with those two high-powered offensive weapons leading the way this should be, if nothing else, a fun team to watch yet again.

Up front, the loss of a double-double machine in Schenscher hurts mightily, and it will be up to the newly-anointed captain Adam Ballinger, one of the league’s best forwards, and big man recruit, the oft-injured Matthew Burston, to fill the considerable void in the middle.

The one thing that stands out is the suspect depth at the three spot. Jacob Holmes, who was as inconsistent as many of his mates last season will likely start at small forward, but realistically there isn’t much behind him, although incoming recruit Nathan Herbert can slide over there in a pinch.

Overall, this is a team with a few question marks. They lack significant size, don’t excite you at the defensive end and are missing that genuine game-changing swingman.

Still, there’s little doubt they will put a lot of points on the board. Ballinger is as good as it gets, Gilchrist and Groves could be one of the best backcourt combos in the league and there’s enough perimeter shooting on the roster to keep any opposing team honest.

Number Five may be gone, but you can be sure this great organisation with those tremendous fans will keep rollin’ along.

CENTRE
Matthew Burston (8.6ppg, 6.2rpg, 1.0bpg, 1.1spg, 54.6% FG) has been brought in to fill the rather large shoes of the recently-departed Luke Schenscher, and the 36ers are hoping that he at least can provide some rebounding and interior D to a ballclub that will sorely need it. His career has been interrupted all too many times by injury and any time he steps out on the floor the Sixer hierarchy will be holding their breath, but he did play 32 games for the Dragons last season. When healthy he’s a guy who works hard, doesn’t demand touches at the offensive end and has always been excellent at getting those garbage buckets inside.

FORWARDS
Adam Ballinger (20.4ppg, 7.9rpg, 50.8% FG, 48.5% 3PT FG, 80.4% FT) is one of the elite ballplayers in the National Basketball League. A threat to score from anywhere on the floor, he’s a matchup nightmare with his size, strength and underrated quickness. He was an excellent choice to lead this team into battle and is held in high regard by pretty much everyone across the NBL. You’d expect him to focus more on his rebounding numbers this season given the Sixers lost a guy who was good for at 10 boards a game every night, and when he is on song this is a very tough team to deal with.

Jacob Holmes (9.5ppg, 6.7rpg, 40.8% 3PT FG) has been a constant source of frustration for many Adelaide fans over his two stints with the 36ers. On the one hand he’s got a lot of talent, is outstanding on the offensive glass and fairly versatile; on the other he shoots the jumper like a line drive, disappears far too often in games and can be prone to silly mistakes at times. It’s all about consistency with the 6’7” forward – he gets that in his game, the 36ers will be all the better for it.

GUARDS
To say that new import point guard John Gilchrist has had a colourful career is somewhat of an understatement. This was a guy who as a sophomore at the University of Maryland played so well he was projected as a sure-fire NBA lottery draft pick whenever he decided to turn pro, but his junior year was a disaster on and off the court and his stock never again reached those lofty heights.

He declared for the draft following his third season as a Terrapin but was not selected, and since then has bounced around many points of the compass, playing in Israel, France, Latvia and the NBDL before coming to the Sixers on a two week trial.

Coach Ninnis saw enough to believe he could be a major force this season, and Gilchrist’s performances in the pre-season to date would seem to indicate the coach’s faith is not misplaced.

If he commits to the program 100% and becomes the floor leader his talent demands of him, this is a guy who could tear the NBL to shreds. Anyone who saw that sophomore season at Maryland can attest to that. But those are a couple of big ifs based on his history.

There are however no question marks over what the Sixers will get out of his running mate Cortez Groves, who is arguably one of the most explosive guards the NBL has ever seen.

Over the years, coaches have tried to turn ‘Tez’ into a one, but the fact remains he is a classic two-guard at this level, and with a genuine PG beside him handling the rock and directing traffic, he should be that much more effective in what figures to be a wide-open, spread the wealth offense. Expect plenty of highlight-reel dunks and big scoring spurts when he is on the floor.

BENCH
David Cooper is a reliable shotblocker and rebounder – just don’t expect him to do much scoring. Brad Hill is still working his way back from that horrific arm injury he suffered a couple of years back. Darren ‘the Doctor’ Ng is back from Singapore to provide great outside shooting and sick athleticism. Nathan Herbert is one of the most underrated players in the L and 6’8” forward Chris Molitor comes in as the Sixers’ designated Under-23 player.

BURNING QUESTION
How will they react to the departure of Brett Maher? The greatest Sixer of them all was the heart and soul of the franchise. Even in his declining years, he was always there to knock down that killer J, nail that clutch basket, and get his team the W. He meant everything to this organisation, and it will be interesting to see if anyone on the roster decides to pick up the torch and run with it.

PROGNOSIS
This Adelaide team is very hard to scout due to their unusual offseason player turnover. You look at the players on this roster and it’s clear there is a lot of talent, but no one knows what the chemistry will be like without Maher holding everything together. There are gaping holes at small forward, Gilchrist, as undeniably talented as he is, is still a risky proposition, and this doesn’t look like a particularly defensive-minded unit. Nonetheless, their ability to put the ball in the basket means they’ll be competitive in every game, and while I don’t rate them as highly as some other teams, they will be fighting for a top four berth at the end of the regular season.

Season Preview: Cairns

CAIRNS TAIPANS SEASON PREVIEW
Last season:
11-19, eighth in regular season, missed playoffs
Points For: 86.3ppg, eighth
Field Goal Percentage: 41.0%, eighth
Rebounds: 37.9rpg, eighth
Assists: 15.8apg, eighth
Steals: 7.4spg, first
Blocked Shots: 3.5bpg, third
NBL Titles: None
NBL Playoff Appearances: 4 (last time 2008)
Homecourt: Cairns Convention Centre, capacity 5300
Head Coach: Aaron Fearne (1st season with Cairns, rookie)
Incoming: Julien ‘Skip’ Mills (import), Tony Rampton, Richard Melzer (import), Dusty Rychart, Phill Jones
Outgoing: Martin Cattalini, Darnell Mee, Scott Cook, Matt Smith
Projected Starters: Julien ‘Skip’ Mills (import), Phill Jones, Aaron Grabau, Richard Melzer (import), Ian Crosswhite
Bench: Dusty Rychart, Gary Boodnikoff, Tony Rampton, Kerry Williams, Dwayne Vale

The story for the Taipans hasn’t been so much on-court in the past year, it’s been about everything off the floor.

All but extinct midway through the 08/09 season when the previous ownership decided to pull the plug; placed the club into voluntary administration and sacked Head Coach Alan Black, they survived to play out the campaign under all kinds of duress and things were looking bleak for their long-term survival in the National Basketball League.

But thanks to some outstanding community support – they really do love their Taipans in Cairns, believe me – the Snakes live to fight another day, with a self-imposed salary cap of $800,000 and some belt-tightening across the board giving them the opportunity to compete at the highest level this season.

Cairns is a great basketball town at the end of the day and it’s good to see the team take its place in this 2009/2010 competition.

Interestingly, their spending limit hasn’t stopped them from what was a fairly productive offseason recruiting drive.

Import forward Rich Melzer, a guy many people in this league are very high on, comes in as one import – ostensibly to play the four spot, although he has the versatility and range to swing across and cause mismatch problems on the wing.

His import partner will be Julien ‘Skip’ Mills, a combo guard out of Ball State University by way of Poland and Hungary, who arrives to fill the considerable shoes of one of the all-time greats of the game in this country, the retired Darnell Mee. Mills hasn’t been especially impressive in the preseason and there will be a lot of pressure on him to play solid D, get the ball to the right people and provide consistent scoring.

For a team that was frankly anaemic offensively last season, the arrival of former New Zealand Breaker Phill Jones is very welcome. Jones, who has been made captain this season, is a fine pure shooter with plenty of veteran nous.

And speaking of quality veterans, Dusty Rychart was another excellent pickup. There are few smarter players in this league and few better around the basket. The other addition of note was the arrival of Tony Rampton’s corpse from the defunct Sydney Spirit, and he’s really only good these days for spot relief inside.

The rest of the Taipan roster doesn’t have any guys who jump out at you, but they are a group of hard-working role players, with Ian Crosswhite a key inside with his size and ability to face up and put the ball on the floor.

With the team’s future secured, new Head Coach Aaron Fearne and his Taipans can just go out and play ball this season. Sure, they made not have the gaudy squad of headliners they’ve had in the past, but there is still enough talent on this roster to make this team competitive.

Whilst you would be hard-pressed to see them make a run at the Top Four, Cairns will be tough to deal with for any opponent, especially on their home floor, and that’s all anyone can really ask of this group that’s had to deal with a lot over these past few months.

CENTRE
6’11” Ian Crosswhite (11.0ppg, 6.1rpg) mans the middle for the Snakes. The former Sydney King attended the University of Oregon where he was at one stage touted as an NBA draft pick, but that seems a very long time ago now. Crosswhite has never reached his potential, but his overall skill level is very high. He’s a left-handed big man who can shoot it from range and has a variety of low post moves which make him difficult to handle at times. His apparent lack of desire lets him down on occasion, but when he plays hard he’s as good as any five man in this league.

FORWARDS
Rich Melzer averaged nearly 20 points and about seven boards per game during his first stint in the NBL with New Zealand, and in that season showed enough to suggest his combination of size, speed and athleticism could be lethal in this competition. He is tough to stop once he gets the ball in the right spot on the block, and what makes him a nightmare to defend at the four is his ability to step outside and knock down the twenty-footer. He gets on the glass well; he’ll block some shots and will defend stoutly for this unit.

Stalwart Aaron Grabau (7.8ppg, 3.3rpg, 1.1spg) is the NBL’s answer to recently retired San Antonio Spur Bruce Bowen. Like the cagey Bowen, Grabau is a fearsome competitor on the defensive end, and he’ll scrap and claw and fight his way through every possession – which, like Bowen, may not endear him to opposition fans, but they love him in Cairns. He’ll be the team’s designated stopper, and occasionally will hit the outside J just to keep enemy defences from sagging off him.

GUARDS
Julien ‘Skip’ Mills will man the point for the Taipans this season, and at 6’3” has ideal size. In college at Ball State University he played both guard and forward, and that versatility has served him well in a career that has taken him to both Hungary and Poland, where he put up some decent numbers in what is admittedly the second-tier of European competition. So far he hasn’t shown much to indicate he will be a force at NBL level, but it’s still early days. Based on his history we know he can score – it’s whether he has the capability and leadership to be that genuine take-charge guy directing traffic.

Phill Jones (14.5ppg, 3.6rpg, 42.3% 3PT FG, 86.5% FT) is one of the great perimeter shooters in this league. He came off the bench for the Breakers last season and was a key in their drive to the playoffs, and gives this team the kind of legit outside threat they haven’t had in a while. The reigning NBL Sixth Man of the Year is projected to start for the Taipans and you’d expect his offensive numbers to improve, even with the drop to 40 minutes game time.

BENCH
It’s possible Dusty Rychart could start this season, depending on whether Coach Fearne wants to go big or small, but for overall team balance I like him coming off the pine. ‘Mr Garbage Man’ is brilliant on the offensive boards and can get 20 and 10 without anyone really noticing. Kerry Williams is a rapidly improving talent with explosive speed at the guard spot, Gary Boodnikoff is always a threat to nail a few from behind the arc, Tony Rampton will give an honest effort at least and Dwayne Vale is one of those scrappy hustlers every coach loves on their roster.

BURNING QUESTION
Is Skip Mills the real deal? So much of a team’s success rests on the ability of their point guard to be an effective leader – see Tigers, 08/09 season – and Cairns really need this guy to be that man for them if they are to become any kind of threat to make the postseason. Otherwise, he could be an early import casualty.

PROGNOSIS
Forget any predictions about making the playoffs – I’m just happy to see the Taipans still alive in the National Basketball League. Like Wollongong, they have tremendous community spirit up there and you can bet they’ll turn out in droves to support this team in 09/10. On the court you know they’ll play hard and will give a solid effort every night, and while they won’t be in the upper echelon of teams this season, they’ll give just about everyone in the league a decent fight.


Season Preview - Gold Coast

GOLD COAST BLAZE SEASON PREVIEW
Last season: 8-22, tenth in regular season, missed playoffs
Points For: 97.6ppg, fourth
Field Goal Percentage: 44.3%, seventh
Rebounds: 41.0rpg, third
Assists: 18.6apg, fifth
Steals: 5.4spg, eighth
Blocked Shots: 2.5bpg, seventh
NBL Titles: None
NBL Playoff Appearances: 1 (last time 2008)
Homecourt: Gold Coast Convention Centre, capacity 5000
Head Coach: Joey Wright (1st season with Blaze, career record 112-64)
Incoming: Mika Vukona, Adam Gibson, Michael Joiner (import), Ayinde Ubaka (import), Anthony Petrie, Chris Goulding
Outgoing: Shane Heal, Ben Melmeth, Justin Bowen (import), Luke Whitehead (import), Scott McGregor, Casey Frank, Daniel Joyce
Projected Starters: Adam Gibson, James Harvey, Ayinde Ubaka, Michael Joiner, Greg Vanderjagt
Bench: Pero Cameron, Mika Vukona, Anthony Petrie, Tyson Demos, Chris Goulding

For an organisation that does so many things right off the floor, it was a surprise to see how far the Gold Coast Blaze fell on court in the 2008/2009 season.

After a promising debut that netted them a playoff appearance in 07/08, they had a year best described as forgettable, with a distinct lack of chemistry apparent right from the get-go.

They never gelled as a unit on or off the floor, played virtually no defence most of the season and suffered several unsightly defeats that had their fans clamouring for change.

And change is what they got as the wooden spoon finish cost former championship-winning coach Brendan Joyce his job. He’s replaced by another title-winner, two-time Coach of the Year Joey Wright, who is determined to get this team back on the right track.

He’ll preside over a largely re-made squad that needed to get younger and more athletic, and with the departures of veterans like Shane Heal, Ben Melmeth and Scott McGregor, the hierarchy feels they accomplished that goal.

Adam Gibson comes across from the title-winning South Dragons to play the point and the new Australian Boomer is one of the rising stars of the sport in this country. Fellow ex-Dragon, forward Mika Vukona, also was recruited to add some much-needed steel to a frontcourt that was considered fairly soft last season.

Both new imports will be relied upon heavily. Michael Joiner is a 6’7” forward who played collegiately at Florida State in the tough ACC conference, establishing a reputation as a hard-nosed rebounder not afraid to take a pounding inside; while guard
Ayinde Ubaka, who played in the Pac-10 for the Cal Bears, was a scorer in college but hasn’t been that productive in his stints in the NBDL and in Germany.

To continue the theme of recruiting hard working guys who add toughness, the Blaze also picked up the underrated Anthony Petrie, who has a non-stop motor and good lateral quickness.

James Harvey is the standout returnee and despite being one of the league’s most feared offensive weapons, he’ll need lots of help from the imports, and Gibson will need to knock some shots down to keep defences honest. Harvey can’t continue to face double-teams as much as he did last season if Gold Coast are to improve.

Whilst the imports haven’t set the world on fire in the preseason, I’m still impressed with how the Blaze have rebuilt their team with an emphasis on youth and hard work.

There is a question mark over whether they have enough offensive firepower outside Harvey, and they aren’t as big as some teams, but they’ve got a proven winner in Wright as coach, look to have gained a new attitude on the floor, and you have to believe they will be in the mix for a playoff spot.

Overall, they might not have the credentials of some other clubs, but you’d be unwise to sleep on this group – they could surprise a few people this season.

CENTRE
6’11” Greg Vanderjagt (11.3ppg, 6.7rpg, 60.3% FG) has been a career backup but did enough in just nine appearances last season to suggest he is maturing into a decent five man at this level. He’s got excellent size and can get up and down the floor, and his efficiency around the bucket was off the charts in 08/09. If he can bring that to the table as a projected full-time starter, the Blaze will be in excellent shape.

FORWARDS
Michael Joiner is pencilled in as the starting power forward for the Blaze, although he hasn’t been a standout in the preseason. Coach Wright is no doubt hoping he can bring some of that strength and toughness he exhibited at FSU, where he finished his four-year career ranked third in school history in games played and finished in the top 25 in career rebounds. He’s not shown to date in his pro career that he’s a big-time scorer, but if he can provide double figures in scoring and rebounding every night and play solid D, that should be enough for him to keep his job.

His fellow import Ayinde Ubaka played mostly guard at Cal but will swing between the two and three for his new club. He is one of the keys to the entire season – Wright is going to need him to put the ball in the hole at a consistent rate otherwise defences will once again be able to key in on Harvey. Ubaka comes from a quality college program – the same one that produced NBA star Jason Kidd, amongst many others – and he played in an outstanding conference, so the pedigree is definitely there. One hopes the adjustment period is just that and he’ll be a standout weapon for his team this season.

GUARDS
There’s no question James Harvey (19.7ppg, 3.5rpg, 41.6% 3PT FG) has developed into an upper-tier ballplayer at this level. He’s the first guy opposing coaches gameplan for and the undoubted leader of this squad. He is devastating in transition, has that great turnaround fadeaway from the baseline and will go out to the perimeter and burn you from long range. So much depends on his ability to carry the scoring load and he’ll be grateful for any help his mates can provide this season.

The reigning Defensive Player of the Year, point guard Adam Gibson, has two rings now – one in his breakout campaign with the Brisbane Bullets in 06/07 when he helped one of the greatest teams in NBL history to a championship, the other last season when he was a key in getting the South Dragons their maiden title. He’s not a classic one in that he’s still more of a scorer from the point, but his decision-making skills are improving and he’s shown in his recent games with the Boomers that he is developing as a floor leader. Coach Wright knows exactly what he’s getting with the 6’2” Gibson.

BENCH
The Incredible Bulk, Pero Cameron, is a holdover from the previous squad and is still as smart and tough as ever, even though he can’t run a lick. Anthony Petrie can score, get on the boards, and defend both forward positions. Mike Vukona is a scary competitor who is a flat-out animal on the boards; Tyson Demos will be given every opportunity this season and Chris Goulding is a young gun recruited from the Perth Wildcats.

BURNING QUESTION
How long will the imports last? The preseason returns have not been encouraging, and if this team falters early the pressure will be on for Coach Wright to make a change. In this league, the easiest people to replace in a hurry are underperforming imports, and both will need to be productive right from the start, otherwise some hard choices will need to be made.

PROGNOSIS
They aren’t one of the more fancied units to be sure, and are coming off a horrific season in which nothing went right. But it looks like the offseason cleanout got rid of a lot of deadwood and there is a fresh, positive attitude throughout the organisation. There aren’t many better coaches than Joey Wright and he has a history of getting more out of players with lesser talent than others. Say what you like, but he’ll have these guys playing hard every night, and in this league, that may be enough to win some games they aren’t expected to. Sleep on this team at your peril.

Season Preview - Melbourne

MELBOURNE TIGERS SEASON PREVIEW
Last season: 20-10, second in regular season, 4-3 in playoffs, lost to South Dragons in NBL Grand Final
Points For: 101.6ppg, second
Field Goal Percentage: 45.4%, fourth
Rebounds: 44.1rpg, second
Assists: 18.6apg, sixth
Steals: 7.2spg, third
Blocked Shots: 4.7bpg, first
NBL Titles: Four (1993, 1997, 2006, 2008)
NBL Playoff Appearances: 20 (last time 2009)
Homecourt: State Netball Hockey Centre, capacity 3500
Head Coach: Alan Westover (5th season with Melbourne, career record 109-41)
Incoming: Mark Worthington, Ryan Bathie, Ben Knight, Tim Lang
Outgoing: David Barlow, Ebi Ere (import), Dave Thomas (import), Stephen Hoare, Adrien Sturt
Projected Starters: Nathan Crosswell, Luke Kendall, Sam Mackinnon, Mark Worthington, Daniel Johnson
Bench: Ben Knight, Daryl Corletto, Tommy Greer, Ryan Bathie, Tim Lang, Chris Anstey (injured)

When Brian Goorjian accepted his championship ring at the conclusion of last season’s NBL Grand Final, he paid tribute to the team his South Dragons had just conquered, the Melbourne Tigers, by calling them the standard-bearers of the National Basketball League.

And Goorj was spot on. This team has been to an astounding four consecutive Grand Final series, winning two and taking last season’s classic to a fifth and deciding game.

Unlike their epic victory over the Sydney Kings in 2008, they couldn’t get over the hump this time, but no matter – this is the club that has established a standard of excellence all other clubs strive for.

The Tigers hope to continue that this season, but their task was made exponentially more difficult with the news that the single most dominant player in the L, the fulcrum of their lineup, Chris Anstey, was going to have surgery on his troublesome hip and would be lost until at least the middle of the season.

Anstey’s loss is massive in so many ways. Not only do you lose a guy good for at least 20 a game offensively and someone whose size and range out to the perimeter make him virtually unguardable, you are without a player who changes the game at the defensive end of the floor.

Be it blocking shots, or disrupting passing lanes, the 7’1” Anstey was a major factor in shutting down teams, especially within Melbourne’s half court defence. No one wanted to attack the middle when the pterodactyl-like centre was in there, intimidating all with his massive wingspan.

That’s gone now – at least in the short to medium term. And the Tigers will need guys to step up and try to compensate for what is now an enormous void in the middle – easier said than done.

Melbourne does welcome back Sam Mackinnon from his second career-threatening injury, and how much he has left will determine a lot of where the Tigers progress this season, but on the flipside they lost one of the league’s rising stars in swingman David Barlow, who left for Spain and the all-too tempting lure of those Eurodollars.

Their big pickup was championship-winning captain, Mark Worthington, who was suddenly left without a club when the South Dragons decided not to participate in this season’s competition. Wortho is one of the best forwards in the league, a genuine inside-outside threat who is just as tough on the perimeter as he is on the block.

Ben Knight, the ultimate journeyman, was drafted in after a less than auspicious season with the Perth Wildcats, and he at least provides another big body on the frontline, while swingman Ryan Bathie comes in after a solid collegiate career at Nicholls State and youngster Tim Lang is a long-range project at 6’10”.

At least to start with, the Tigers will be going down the All Australian route with zero imports, trying to follow in the footsteps of the 2004 West Sydney Razorbacks, who very nearly went all the way before falling in five games to the Sydney Kings in a Grand Final series for the ages.

With Anstey, they could very well go one step further than the Pigs did. But without him, one wonders how long they’ll wait before pulling the trigger and getting in at least one import, especially if they struggle early and can’t overcome the loss of a supreme athletic talent in Barlow.

It will be strange to see a Tiger squad without Anstey prowling around – and interesting to see how they respond and how other teams go after them while the seven footer watches on from the sidelines.

CENTRE
I’ve included Chris Anstey (18.4ppg, 10.9rpg, 2.2apg, 1.5spg, 1.7bpg) as the projected centre on the basis he will return at some stage, but while he is out the Tigers could go a number of different ways – the most likely I believe is Coach Al Westover will go smallball and stick workhorse forward Ben Knight (8.8ppg, 6.6rpg, 52.2% FG with Perth) in at the five. Knight is at the very least a guy who always gives 100% every second he’s on the floor and while he’s not going to provide the intimidation factor of an Anstey or even a Daniel Johnson, he’s a smart veteran who plays within his limitations.

FORWARDS
One of the big question marks over this team is the second comeback of Sam Mackinnon (8.8ppg, 6.4rpg, 4.3apg, 1.8spg) who played just 13 games last season before succumbing to illness/injury yet again – this time suffering a blood clot that threatened to end his career. You have to wonder how much tread is left on those tyres, although the other side of that coin is that it could be said he’s well-rested coming in this season and has gotten over all the assorted nicks and scrapes the veterans seem to accumulate the longer their career goes on.

Mark Worthington was maybe the biggest prize in this offseason free agent class, and he comes in after winning his first NBL title. There’s little doubt he’s a guy opposition fans love to hate – especially those in Perth – but also little doubt that anyone who wants their team to win ballgames would welcome him on board with open arms. He’s become a guy who presents matchup problems for virtually every team – while slightly undersized at the four he’s as strong inside as you’ll find in the league and has developed some decent post moves. Add in the fact he can go out to the perimeter and hit from range and you’ve got a guy who is too big for most wing forwards and too quick for most other fours at this level.

GUARDS
You could argue that one of Melbourne’s glaring weaknesses is at the guard position, where the loss of an Ebi Ere raises some question marks over where the scoring in the backcourt is going to come from. Nonetheless, they’ll likely go with Nathan Crosswell (7.0ppg, 4.0apg) at the one, and he’ll bring his usual game of slashing, driving, and shooting that pull up J in the lane. He’s not a guy who will hurt you from the outside but if he gets past the first level defensively he can be tough to deal with at times, and he always plays with a lot of heart.

Luke Kendall (8.8ppg, 2.2rpg, 2.5apg, 51.4% 3PT FG, 83.3% FT) played just 13 games last season but shot the ball pretty well in his brief stint, and while he’s probably more suited to the point the Tigers will ask him to play the two and look for him to hit some big outside shots. Kendall is a solid defender with good size, although he does struggle with the more athletic types, and he should be better after a full preseason with his new team.

BENCH
I’ve said he will probably start in Chris Anstey’s absence, but Ben Knight will provide some much needed leadership once he returns to a bench that is frankly one of the thinnest the Tigers have put out there in some time. Daryl Corletto is a standstill shooter who really hasn’t progressed that much in the past couple of years, Tommy Greer is an athletic swingman who is probably the pick of an otherwise non-descript bunch, while Daniel Johnson has shown glimpses of talent, Ryan Bathie put up some numbers in a D2 NCAA program and Tim Lang is a very long-range project.

BURNING QUESTION
Pretty obvious really – how will they fare while Anstey is out? You would have to say a top two finish is probably out of the question – you just can’t replace what Anstey brings to the table. But they have to ensure that they win the games they are supposed to, don’t drop any cheapies in the first half of the season, and give themselves a chance to make a significant run to the playoffs once Chris hopefully returns.

PROGNOSIS
It’s never wise to write off a club that has established such a magnificent winning tradition, but losing Anstey for at least half a season, coupled with some massive player departures in Barlow, Ere and Stephen Hoare mean this club has taken more hits in the offseason than they have in years. Sure, Worthington’s arrival is very welcome, but the bench looks suspect, they won’t be as intimidating as they have been in the past– even when Anstey comes back – and no one really knows how effective Sammy Mac will be after a long layoff. I still think they’ll make the playoffs, but a championship run might be a step too far for Melbourne in 09/10.

Season Preview - New Zealand

NEW ZEALAND BREAKERS SEASON PREVIEW
Last season:
18-12, third in regular season, 1-2 in playoffs, lost to Melbourne in NBL semi-finals
Points For: 103.5ppg, first
Field Goal Percentage: 46.6%, second
Rebounds: 38.9rpg, seventh
Assists: 23.1apg, first
Blocked Shots: 2.6bpg, sixth
NBL Titles: None
NBL Playoff Appearances: 2 (last time 2009)
Homecourt: North Shore Events Centre, Auckland, capacity 4500
Head Coach: Andrej Lemanis (5th season with New Zealand, career record 55-74)
Incoming: Awvee Storey (import), Alex Pledger
Outgoing: Phill Jones, Tim Behrendorff, Adam Tanner
Projected Starters: CJ Bruton, Kirk Penney, Awvee Storey (import), Tony Ronaldson, Rick Rickert (import)
Bench: Oscar Forman, Paul Henare, Dillon Boucher, Tom Abercrombie, Alex Pledger, Corey Webster

Boy, these New Zealand Breakers sure have been a bunch of teases ever since they entered the National Basketball League to great fanfare in 2003 as the competition’s first overseas entrant.

Coming as it did on the heels of Australia’s historic series loss to the Tall Blacks in 2002, a great deal was expected immediately out of a team that had the resources and support of an entire country behind them.

Some even expected them to challenge for the title immediately – but it hasn’t quite worked out that way for the Breakers, at least, not yet.

But in the past couple of seasons, they have shown they are definitely on an upward curve. From a 16-14, seventh place regular season finish and first round playoff exit in 2008 to an 18-12 regular season mark, third place on the ladder and their first trip to the Final Four in 2009 – New Zealand is a fast-rising commodity.

There’s a palpable sense of how good this team could really be in 09/10. They boast the league’s best backcourt; have recruited one of the more highly-credentialed imports to visit Down Under and have some young, exciting talent – especially one Thomas Abercrombie – who are really going to open some eyes this season.

For Head Coach Andrej Lemanis, it’s really a season where no excuses can be made. He’s been given a squad that on paper is easily one of the strongest, deepest teams in the NBL, a team that looks devastating offensively and promising defensively. Lemanis has had just two winning seasons in his five year career but the time is now to go to the next level.

They have promised so much, but so far delivered not enough on their undoubted potential. However, for the first time in franchise history, the Breakers are legitimate, no kidding title contenders. For the first time, there is an expectation they should at the very least make the Grand Final. And for the first time, there will be tremendous disappointment if they don’t go and win the entire thing.

That’s what this squad has been built for – to win a championship. They’ll be virtually impossible to beat at home and if they can at least go .500 on the road they should find themselves with a top two spot and homecourt advantage in the semi-final series. That will give them their best opportunity yet to make it all the way to the Big Dance.

It’s how they deal with the pressure of those expectations that will determine how far these New Zealand Breakers go in 2009/2010.

CENTRE
Import Rick Rickert (13.5ppg, 8.3rpg, 52.8% FG) anchors the middle for the Breakers, and while he doesn’t fit the mould of a typical five man, he’s nonetheless a key component for this ballclub. At 6’11” he outruns most opposing centres up and down the floor and is very effective in the low block once he establishes good position. He will also face up and hit from fifteen on occasion. Whilst his shotblocking numbers aren’t what you’d hope for given his athleticism and wingspan, he will alter some shots and can be an intimidator in the middle. While the Breakers don’t necessarily need big scoring numbers out of him, they do need decent production from the former Minnesota Golden Gopher and ex-sparring partner of the Boston Celtics’ Kevin Garnett.

FORWARDS
Awvee Storey is an interesting story, if you’ll pardon the pun. The 6’6” swingman has had an interesting career that has taken him all over the world and has included three stops in the NBA with New Jersey, Washington, and most recently Milwaukee, where he played 26 games and averaged 3.5ppg in 10 minutes per contest.

He’s played in Venezuela, South Korea, China, the CBA and USBL, and had some notable off the court incidents including one when in 2007 he punched out a teammate at the NBDL Dakota Wizards, Martynas Andruiskevicus, had his contract with Dakota terminated and was suspended by the league.

He comes to the NBL looking for a fresh start, and if he can put his troubles behind him should be very effective for his new club. On court, he’s shown he can be a great defender – that’s what got him those gigs in the Association more so than his scoring. He can defend every spot from one to five, is hard-nosed and doesn’t back down from anyone.

He’ll get some points for you at this level, but that’s not why the Breakers brought him in. With a backcourt that is offensively brilliant but defensively challenged, they needed someone to come in and be a real difference maker on D. Storey fits the bill perfectly.

Lemanis could go a few different ways with the power spot, but I think for size and experience he’ll start with old campaigner Tony Ronaldson (13.1ppg, 3.8rpg, 4.0apg) who is still getting it done even after all these years. The NBL’s all-time leader in games played, he can’t jump, can’t run and the bumps and bruises have taken their toll, but his great basketball IQ and tremendous experience – the guy has seen it all – still makes him extremely valuable.

GUARDS
This is where the Breakers have a tremendous advantage over most other teams in the NBL – with a superlative, world-class starting backcourt that is arguably one of the best the league has ever seen.

Start at the point, with three-time championship winner CJ Bruton (16.2ppg, 5.4apg, 3.4rpg, 1.7spg, 49.2% 3PT FG, 86.1% FT). Even with some niggling injuries to his elbow and ankle that required some off season surgery, he was still as dangerous as ever in 08/09, finishing second in the league in free throw shooting and hitting a blistering 49% of his attempts from beyond the arc.

He’s not afraid to have the ball in his hands with the game on the line and has developed into an excellent passer over the last few years, blowing away the notion that he is a scorer, first and foremost, and his defence has also improved – okay it’s still not great, but it’s at least serviceable.

Every time I see his backcourt mate, reigning league MVP Kirk Penney (24.1ppg, 4.3rpg, 2.8apg, 81.5% FT), it’s scary just how much he reminds me of one Andrew Gaze – a guy who could also score the ball just a little.

But it’s not just the scoring; it’s how he does it – the movement without the ball, the almost supernatural ability to put himself in the best position to score, the way he can get guys to foul him in almost any situation, that reminds me so much of the G.O.A.T..

He basically cannot be stopped at this level – you can double him, or try to take the ball out of his hands, it just doesn’t matter. He will find ways to score no matter what, and he’ll hurt you whenever he has the rock. Paired with CJ, he presents a defensive nightmare – you have to man him up because he’ll rip a zone D apart, but if you decide to cheat off another player he’s got the smarts to find the seam and get the ball to the open man.

Or he’ll just use that remarkable intelligence to find a way to the basket, and get 20 on you before you can blink. Right now, there’s no question Penney is the man.

BENCH
Oscar Forman could easily start for a lot of teams in this league, and he might even start for the Breakers, but I like him coming off the bench as a perimeter-shooting big. He’s good for double-figure scoring most nights and his range means you can’t throw a zone out there when he’s on the floor. New Zealand got bigger with the addition of seven foot centre Alex Pledger, whose performance for the Tall Blacks in the recent Oceania series illustrated his enormous potential. Speaking of potential, Thomas Abercrombie is a coming attraction. This guy can flat-out jump out of the gym and his upside is enormous. Then you’ve got a couple of wily veterans in backup point guard Paul Henare and swingman Dillon Boucher – both great defenders who always put their bodies on the line.

BURNING QUESTION
I’ve said it before and I’ll say it again – how will they deal with the weight of expectation that comes with being championship favourites? On paper, their immediate challengers look to be only Melbourne, who are not what they once were, and the Perth Wildcats, who have on paper one of the greatest frontlines the league has ever seen, although there is a question mark over their backcourt. There is enormous pressure on this group to finally get the job done, and barring a season-ending injury to one of their key guys, there will be hard questions asked if they don’t perform as you’d expect them to.

PROGNOSIS
This may finally be the season that an overseas team takes away Australia’s national championship. The Breakers have promised so much for so long, and now looks like the perfect time to deliver. They are positively loaded at every position, can score on anyone, have a ton of veteran experience and boast depth right across the line, including a couple of youngsters who could really be factors this year. They’ll be dominant at home, and the only question mark is how they’ll overcome their road woes – something that has been a bugbear for the team. If they can perform consistently on these shores, they’ll finish in the top two at the end of the regular season with a great chance to reach an historic Grand Final – and if they make it, it’s going to be hard to bet against them.

Season Preview - Perth

PERTH WILDCATS SEASON PREVIEW
Last season: 17-13, fourth in regular season, 0-1 in playoffs, lost to Townsville in NBL quarter-finals
Points For: 96.0ppg, seventh
Field Goal Percentage: 45.7%, third
Rebounds: 39.3rpg, sixth
Assists: 20.2apg, third
Steals: 7.0spg, fourth
Blocked Shots: 3.4bpg, fifth
NBL Titles: Four (1990, 1991, 1995, 2000)
NBL Playoff Appearances: 23 (last time 2009)
Homecourt: Challenge Stadium, capacity 4500
Head Coach: Rob Beveridge (1st season with Perth, career record 21-39)
Incoming: Martin Cattalini, Kevin Lisch (import), Luke Schenscher, Damian Martin, Jesse Wagstaff, Drew Williamson
Outgoing: Darnell Hinson (import), Isiah Victor (import), Alex Loughton, Peter Crawford, Ben Knight, Adam Caporn, Chris Goulding
Projected Starters: Damian Martin, Kevin Lisch, Shawn Redhage, Martin Cattalini, Paul Rogers
Bench: Luke Schenscher, Jesse Wagstaff, Stephen Weigh, Brad Robbins, Drew Williamson

There is not a better record of success that any other club in virtually any other sport can claim than that of the Perth Wildcats.

Go ahead – show me another team anywhere that has been to the playoffs more than 23 consecutive times.

It is an amazing record when you think about it. The last time the Cats didn’t feature in the postseason was 1986 – yep, 23 years ago. That means there are more than a few current Wildcat fans who don’t even know what missing the playoffs is like – they just take it for granted that Perth plays in the NBL, Perth makes the playoffs. Simple.

But with that remarkable achievement does come a certain level of expectation that the Wildcats will be one of the elite teams in the NBL every season. Lately, that hasn’t really been the case.

While their record is phenomenal, the facts are they haven’t been to a Grand Final series since 2003 when they were crushed on their home floor by the Sydney Kings, and they’ve only appeared in two semi-final series in the past six seasons.

Last season they couldn’t even win a single elimination game on their home floor, the most intimidating gym in the L, as they were beaten by the Townsville Crocodiles and a sensational turn back the clock shooting performance from John Rillie.

For the Wildcats and especially their outstanding fan base, which is unquestionably the best there is in the National Basketball League, this recent state of affairs is unacceptable. The franchise is all about contending for championships, not just bolstering their formidable playoff record.

With that in mind, the team went through a fairly significant overhaul in the offseason.

Gone are both imports and a large portion of their 08/09 squad, including standout forward Alex Loughton and athletic swingman Peter Crawford, while Head Coach Conner Henry was also let go after failing to lead the Cats past the quarter-final stage.

In their place is a recruiting class which ranks amongst the best in the NBL.

Start with giant centre Luke Schenscher, who was a tremendous pickup, coming on board to give Perth a potential Twin Towers look with returning captain Paul Rogers. That combined 14 feet of basketball talent could terrorise the rest of the NBL this season.

The admittedly huge loss of Loughton was offset to a degree by the return of Martin Cattalini to the fold. The Cat, who last played for the Wildcats in 1995 – and if you’re looking for good omens, that was a championship year for the black and red – comes in to provide scoring, rebounding, and a dose of toughness to a frontline which on paper is the best in the league.

Damian Martin, the feisty, scrappy, workaholic guard from the Sydney Spirit, will likely start in the backcourt, and he’s the type of player whose contributions to team success cannot be measured by stats alone.

One potential question mark is new import guard Kevin Lisch, who at 6’2” is a bit undersized to play the two. He put up some decent but not eye-popping numbers for the University of St Louis Billikens, who compete in the always-tough Atlantic 10 conference in the NCAA. It will be interesting to see whether he will be able to generate the kind of offensive production the Cats will need from their thin backcourt.

And then you’ve got gifted rookie Jesse Wagstaff, a 6’8” forward out of noted NBL basketball factory Metro State University – a college that has produced Mark Worthington, David Barlow and Luke Kendall amongst others.

The other major recruit was New Head Coach Rob Beveridge, a man highly respected throughout the league. His career record isn’t great to be sure, but this will be the first time he’s had this kind of talent at his disposal.

Schenscher’s arrival has elevated the Cats into genuine championship contenders. They boast yet another version of the famed Perth Wall, feature one of the league’s best all-around players in Shawn Redhage and have quality depth up and down the roster.

No question Perth fans should be excited about their team’s chances. Expect ‘The Jungle’ to be rocking in 09/10.

CENTRE
Paul Rogers (9.0ppg, 4.5apg) played just two games last season before succumbing to injury. The 2000 NBL MVP is, when healthy, one of the best big men in the league and the Cats will no doubt be sweating on his fitness, albeit they’ve got a heck of an insurance policy in Luke Schenscher. The team captain plays hard every night, is an outstanding rebounder, a tough and committed defender, and sets excellent picks for that high post action the Cats love to run.

FORWARDS
He may not have won last season’s Most Valuable Player, but there’s no doubting the importance in Perth of Shawn Redhage (19.2ppg, 8.0rpg, 3.5apg, 51.8% FG, 84.9% FT) who was named to the All NBL Second Team last season. The 6’8” combo forward is super-efficient and extremely productive with an excellent midrange jumper. He presents matchup problems with his quickness, attacks the boards with gusto at both ends of the floor, plays solid D and is very unselfish. Add to that his great intangibles and you’ve got the key to the Perth Wall.

Martin Cattalini (15.9ppg, 6.1rpg, 2.1apg) returns home to the Great West and will be welcomed back with open arms, particularly with the departure of Alex Loughton. He’s suffered through a few issues the past couple of years and is slightly past his prime, but he’s still going to provide you with quality minutes every time he steps on the floor. Like Redhage, he’s versatile enough to play the three or four and can guard both positions.

GUARDS
Damian Martin was the league leader in steals last season, a testament to his bulldog nature as a take no prisoners lockdown defensive specialist. The former captain of the Australian Emu junior team that won world championship gold in 2003 is a product of Loyola Marymount University, where he had a fine career, and he’s looking to make a mark in the NBL. Injuries have been a problem for him since entering the league, but when healthy he’s a quality baller who has a great work ethic, punches well above his weight and is getting better as a leader on the floor.

Kevin Lisch played both the one and two in college for the University of St Louis, but projects as the shooting guard in a thin looking Perth backcourt. His background suggests he won’t be a big-time scorer at this level, and although he has a reputation as a stopper defensively, he is going to need to knock some shots down from the perimeter to earn his keep on this squad. A point of interest will be how the 6’2” guard fits with the rest of the Wildcat lineup this season.

BENCH
Having a 7’1” guy who averaged 16 and 10 last season is one hell of a luxury for any team, and the Cats have got that in former Georgia Tech standout Luke Schenscher. The Wildcats can now play two seven footers at the same time if they so choose – good luck trying to grab rebounds against that lot. The rest of the bench features a couple of potential stars in Jesse Wagstaff and Stephen Weigh, a hard working guard in Brad Robbins and a shooter in Drew Williamson who is now on his third NBL club and still trying to make an impact on the league.

BURNING QUESTION
The backcourt. Is it deep enough, and can it produce enough offensively to take the pressure off that great core of big men? Lisch may be a dogged defender, but he also might not be the best fit for this team – one wonders what a genuine 2/3 swingman like an Ebi Ere for example would do in a group like this – and if the backcourt can’t feed the big guys and hit some shots consistently, teams will be collapsing on Perth inside like a cheap tent.

PROGNOSIS
I know I said it last season, but I believe it even more now – there is enough talent on this roster to take Perth to a championship in 09/10. Sure, there’s a big question mark over their backcourt, and there is always the possibility they could be a little top-heavy, but they’ve got tremendous versatility at the 3-4 spots, they’ll be a monster on the glass and will play very tough defence, especially in the halfcourt. Fast-breaking teams may cause them some trouble, but the flipside is they will be able to overpower most other clubs if it gets into a grind it out battle. With Chris Anstey out of Melbourne’s lineup, they should have a real chance at finishing in the top two at the end of the regular season, and who knows – from there, anything is possible. Chalk up the Cats as one of the elite teams in this National Basketball League season.

Season Preview - Townsville

TOWNSVILLE CROCODILES SEASON PREVIEW
Last season: 17-13, fifth in regular season, 2-2 in playoffs, lost to South Dragons in NBL semi-finals
Points For: 97.1ppg, sixth
Field Goal Percentage: 44.7%, sixth
Rebounds: 40.1rpg, fourth
Assists: 17.6apg, seventh
Steals: 7.4spg, second
Blocked Shots: 2.4bpg, eighth
NBL Titles: None
NBL Playoff Appearances: 6 (last time 2009)
Homecourt: Townsville Entertainment Centre, capacity 5257
Head Coach: Trevor Gleeson (4th season with Townsville, career record 57-44)
Incoming: Rolan Roberts (import), Peter Crawford, Stephen Hoare, Jeff Dowdell
Outgoing: John Rillie, Brad Sheridan, Rosell Ellis (import), Daniel Egan, Steven Broom
Projected Starters: Corey Williams, Peter Crawford, Stephen Hoare, Russell Hinder, Rolan Roberts
Bench: Cameron Tovey, Kelvin Robertson, Michael Cedar, Brad Williamson, Jeff Dowdell

Ian Stacker may be the only coach to have taken the Townsville Crocodiles to a Grand Final in their 16 seasons in the National Basketball League, but you can’t beat current Crocs’ coach Trevor Gleeson for consistency.

In his first three seasons on the job he has taken Townsville to the playoffs every time, with a pair of first round exits to start followed by last year’s somewhat surprising semi-final appearance when they took the eventual champion South Dragons to the limit before falling in three.

I say surprising because very few people would have tipped the Crocs to have beaten the Perth Wildcats in a sudden death quarter-final at the venue rated across the league as the toughest place to get a W for visiting teams.

But that’s exactly what Townsville did, riding a magnificent shooting performance from John Rillie to claim a stunning victory and advance to the semis, where they gave the Dragons all they could handle.

It was another step towards re-establishing this team as one of the power teams in the NBL – another step towards getting back to those glory days at the Swamp where the place was packed every night and the Crocs were virtually invincible in their home gym.

Every team needs to try and get better every offseason with the goal in mind of contending for a title. And Townsville have done an extremely good job for the most part of bringing in quality talent – the new blood is going to make a difference in 09/10.

The one head-scratching move was the release of JR after his playoff heroics. Clearly his age was a major factor as the Crocs looked to get younger and more athletic, but while his production last season was admittedly down, he could have filled a role as a veteran sixth man off the pine providing experience and a threat from the perimeter.

That said, the Crocodile hierarchy did make a smart move by enticing athletic swingman Peter Crawford back to the place where he started his NBL career nine years ago. Crawford will be an ideal complement to explosive point guard Corey Williams, especially in transition where the flashy import is most effective.

Big man Rolan Roberts comes on board and will fill the middle – literally. The ‘Mack Truck’ is the definition of a wide-load down low, an intimidating force back to terrorise NBL bigs – I know one ex Hawk and current 36er in Adam Ballinger won’t be pleased to see Rolan back on these shores after he was destroyed by the 6’7” powerhouse in the 2005 NBL Grand Final series.

An underrated signing was Stephen Hoare – a two-time Sixth Man of the Year who was shockingly let go by Melbourne. Hoare projects as the starter at the three spot for the Crocodiles, and he’s the ultimate glue guy – an unselfish, intelligent, experienced player who is a great passer, doesn’t take bad shots, plays D and gets on the glass at both ends.

No question the Crocs deserve to be mentioned among the early favourites for the 2009/10 NBL crown after a very productive offseason. There are still question marks – one is a bench that hasn’t really improved all that much from last season – but then virtually every team in the NBL has issues.

The Crocodiles’ overall talent level is very high – and more importantly in Hoare and Roberts they have picked up two guys who know what it takes to win championships in the National Basketball League.

With a steady hand on the sidelines in Coach Gleeson and a game-changer in Williams running the show, this is going to be a highly competitive team at the very least.

CENTRE
It’s great to see Rolan Roberts back in the league again after his season and a half stint with the Sydney Kings from 2004-2006 was cut short by a terrible pectoral muscle tear he suffered when attempting the Vince Carter stuff it up to the elbow dunk at the ’06 All Star Game. Since then he’s been playing in Europe, putting up some good numbers, and if he returns as the guy who was such a big factor in the Kings’ third championship he is going to bring a lot to this squad. Once he establishes himself in the low block you can’t move the man out of there, and his great quickness and leaping ability make him a nightmare to defend inside. At the defensive end he’s an intimidator even at 6’7”; he will block shots and he rebounds like a man possessed.

FORWARDS
Russell Hinder (9.7ppg, 6.3rpg, 2.8apg) played centre last season alongside Rosell Ellis, but Roberts’ arrival sees him slide across to the four spot where he should be more effective with his ability to roam outside and knock down the twenty-footer. He is one of the most cerebral players in the game, an excellent shotblocker, and he runs the floor very well. ‘Rusty’ has shown to be better over the years with a bigger presence alongside him, so I’m expecting a good season from the 6’10” forward.

The Crocs could go a few ways with the starting three, with Cam Tovey or Brad Williamson putting their hands up, but I would be surprised if at some stage this season Trevor Gleeson looks to the ultra-experienced Stephen Hoare (9.0ppg, 4.9rpg, 2.0apg, 54.2% FG, 45.9% 3PT FG) to be his man on the wing.

Paul Kennedy wrote in his latest column about the need for efficiency in the NBL’s new 40 minute game – well for that you need look no further than Mr Hoare, who has been the definition of efficiency since coming into the league. This guy almost never takes a bad shot, finds the open man – especially from his favoured spot at the top of the key – and his nickname ‘Sneaky’ fits him well as he always seems to pop up and get baskets when you least expect it. This was a great pickup by the Crocs.

GUARDS
Over the years, there have been some great entertainers in the National Basketball League. Names such as Calvin Bruton, Derek Rucker, Dwayne McClain and Leon Trimmingham have all sold tickets and brought people into stadiums across the country.

Well, add the 6’3” Corey Williams to that distinguished list as a guy who brings people through the doors. He’s as explosive and dynamic a player to hit this league in years, a one-on-one killer who is basically unstoppable in transition and loves to compete every night. The book on him is to lay off and dare him to shoot the perimeter jumper, but he’s shown he can make that thing if you don’t pay him enough respect. What you love about him aside from his showmanship is the fact he never backs down from a challenge – in fact he relishes it. With the Crocs looking to play more up-tempo this season I expect a monster year from ‘Homicide’.

Peter Crawford (12.6ppg, 3.1rpg, 3.4apg, 1.4spg) will start at shooting guard for the Crocs, and his ability to fly down one wing and finish the break strongly should mesh very well with his backcourt partner Williams. He still turns the ball over way too much, but he’s an excellent defender, can hit from the outside and is an above average passer at the two spot. This could wind up being one of the best backcourt combos in the league when all is said and done this season.

BENCH
Gleeson may decide Hoare is better suited to be the Crocs’ sixth man this season, a role he has made pretty much his own over the past few years. Regardless, what stands out most about the reserve group is a distinct lack of size. Jeff Dowdell comes on board looking for a new start after an undistinguished stint at Perth and he currently projects as the primary backup big. There’s talent at the two and three with Cam Tovey, Brad Williamson and Michael Cedar, while Kelvin Robertson is a feisty competitor as a backup PG to Williams, but overall, Townsville’s depth is a little suspect.

BURNING QUESTION
Is there enough size on the bench? When you look at some other contenders, they have decent bigs in reserve – the same really can’t be said for the Crocs, unless Dowdell breaks through and has a big season. It may be that Gleeson decides that Hoare is that man to give his team frontline production from the pine, but looking at this squad the frontcourt depth is an area of some concern.

PROGNOSIS
Townsville has been ranked as the third favourite by TAB Sportsbet to win the NBL Championship, and given their recruiting drive and the return of the league’s best point guard in Williams it’s easy to understand why. Of all Trevor Gleeson’s teams, this is the one that looks the most capable of going all the way. They boast a potentially lethal import combination, plenty of experience and play in a great environment. They’ll miss JR more than they think, and I’m not sold on their big man depth, but you would expect them to be well amongst it at the end of the regular season. It would be a surprise if the Crocs miss the playoffs, and not a surprise if they wound up going all the way to the Big Dance in 09/10.

Season Preview - Wollongong

WOLLONGONG HAWKS SEASON PREVIEW
Last season: 11-19, seventh in regular season, missed playoffs
Points For: 97.5ppg, fifth
Field Goal Percentage: 47.2%, first
Rebounds: 39.3rpg, fifth
Assists: 19.2apg, fourth
Steals: 6.7spg, sixth
Blocked Shots: 3.7bpg, third
NBL Titles: One (2001)
NBL Playoff Appearances: 15 (last time 2006)
Homecourt: WIN Entertainment Centre, capacity 5800
Head Coach: Gordie McLeod (1st season with Wollongong, career record 104-134)
Incoming: Tywain McKee (import), David Gruber (import), Tim Behrendorff, Tim Coenraad
Outgoing: Kavossy Franklin (import), Dusty Rychart, Lindsay Tait, Anthony Petrie
Projected Starters: Tywain McKee (import), Mathew Campbell, Glen Saville, Larry Davidson, Cameron Tragardh
Bench: Tim Behrendorff, David Gruber, Daniel Jackson, Rhys Martin, Tim Coenraad

As a basketball fan for just over thirty years now, I believe there’s a lot to be said for history and tradition.

Sometimes you lose a great deal when you don’t pay enough attention to the past, when you don’t look to honour that which came before you. Sometimes, it’s history and tradition that defines who you are.

For that reason I was very happy to see the last foundation club of the National Basketball League, the Wollongong Hawks, fight off extinction in the offseason and return to take their place in what will be their 32nd campaign in Australia’s elite basketball league.

The Hawks were one of those ten pioneering teams all the way back in 1979 who decided to become a part of this great competition. In those 30 years they have been a tremendous representative of their community, became one of the very few regional teams in any sport in this country to win a national championship, and have provided their fans with a ton of memorable moments.

And now they stand alone as the remaining team from the inaugural NBL season.

That is thanks to the extraordinary hard work and commitment from a number of people in what for mine is one of the great basketball towns there is. A town that refused to let 30 years of history and tradition go by the wayside – and they will represent the entire state of New South Wales.

There’s no question that since the Hawks went to the Grand Final in 2005, things have been pretty tough for the Steel Town franchise. Their golden period was between 2000 and 2005, when they secured their NBL title and won at least 18 games in four of five seasons, but from 2006 onwards they’ve only been to the playoffs once. In fact, they are coming off three consecutive campaigns where they haven’t made the postseason and haven’t come close to even sniffing the .500 mark in the regular season.

Eric Cooks stepped aside in the offseason to make way as head coach for one of Wollongong’s favourite sons, Gordie McLeod, who represented the Hawks with great distinction as a player in two stints from 1979 to 1982 and 1984 to 1988. McLeod has an overall losing record as a coach in his career, but he did lead the West Sydney Razorbacks to two Grand Final series and will instil that typical Hawk work ethic and toughness in this group.

The Hawks’ star player signing was that of import Tywain McKee. The 6’2” point guard out of Coppin State University has been wowing all and sundry in the preseason, drawing favourable comparisons to former All Star Butch Hays, and if he’s as good as advertised he’ll join the group of great Hawk guards over the years like Alphonse Hammond, Doug Overton and Cortez Groves.

David Gruber was rescued from the wreckage of the Sydney Spirit and his style of play fits in well with the blue collar, no-nonsense attitude of this program. He’s not a guy who will score the ball that often, but he will give you energy and hustle and should be an important cog in this lineup coming off the bench.

An underrated pickup was that of seven foot centre Tim Behrendorff, who very quietly has improved his game over the last couple of seasons. He looks to be one of those bigs who’ll mature later in his career and should provide some decent minutes in reserve.

With ‘Operation Sellout’ in full swing hoping for a full crowd at the Sandpit this Friday night for their triumphant opening game, the community behind them and excellent support from local media, the Hawks are ready to soar in 09/10.

McLeod will have them playing hard every night and they want to turn that gym of theirs into a veritable fortress, just like the old days at the venerable Snakepit when opposition teams feared a visit into enemy territory.

They may not be among the fancied teams, and they may not have as much talent as a few others, but I’m still expecting a great deal from this team, especially if McKee turns out to be the superstar some in that organisation believe he can be.

CENTRE
The runaway winner of the 2008 NBL Most Improved award, Cameron Tragardh (14.7ppg, 4.7rpg, 54.5% FG) showed that season wasn’t a fluke with another solid campaign in 08/09. And he’s already made a significant impact in the preseason, dominating the Top End Challenge in Darwin, winning Tournament MVP honours and leading the Hawks to a surprise championship. He’s a difficult matchup at the five due to his underrated quickness, variety of post moves and ability to face up and put the ball on the floor. He’ll need to crash the boards a bit better than he did last season, but there’s no question he’s set himself for an outstanding year.

FORWARDS
The great Glen Saville (15.1ppg, 7.7rpg, 3.7apg, 1.7spg, 78.0% FT) should be a first ballot Hall of Famer once he ends his stellar career as one of the best all around players this league has ever seen.

The do it all forward was his usual productive self once he returned to the nest last season following a Grand Final appearance with the Kings in 07/08, and although he may have lost half a step, he’s still got the great motor, the outstanding athleticism, and the tremendous work ethic. It’s only fitting that he will finish his career (eventually) at the place where he has established himself as one of the legends of the franchise.

The career of Larry Davidson (6.5ppg, 4.4rpg) has been one of injury and unfulfilled promise. At one stage the 6’11” left-hander was touted as a potential Boomer, but he’s never lived up to that for various reasons. He played just 17 games last season and it’s been a struggle for him, but he still has sublime talent and when he puts his mind to it can be a weapon with his size and ability to nail it from the perimeter. If the Hawks get a complete season and good production out of him they’ll be very satisfied.

GUARDS
Wollongong captain Mat Campbell (9.8ppg, 2.7rpg, 2.4apg, 41.9% 3PT FG) was one of the driving forces to save the franchise, and he worked his butt off to help make this season happen. For that alone you gotta admire this guy enormously.

And like his mate Saville, he’s one of the all-time greats of this team. On court, he’s clearly slowing down as the inevitable passage of time catches up with him, but he’ll still good to hit that pull-up J off the break and splash a few treys here and there. He’s an inspirational leader and it’s great to see him back for another go-around in the National Basketball League.

The excitement level in the Gong around new import point guard Tywain McKee is about the same as I remember it was when Doug Overton arrived for his one magical season in 1992.

McKee had a stellar career at mid-major university Coppin State, and in his senior year led the team in scoring, rebounding, assists and steals and was named the MEAC conference player of the year. Heck, he was even profiled in ESPN The Magazine.

By all accounts he’s been nothing but an absolute pleasure to deal with, a kid willing to learn and work extremely hard, with the added bonus of possessing incredible talent.

He’ll be one of the standout imports this season, and John Rillie, who brought him to these shores in his new role in sports management, wrote in his blog “Tywain McKee will have people out of their seats during the game”. You better believe it.

BENCH
David Gruber is not a scorer at this level, but will provide tremendous energy, hustle and intensity, plus at least one floor burn every game. Tim Behrendorff will provide decent relief minutes up front, Rhys Martin is a scrappy, feisty combo guard, while Dan Jackson has a lot of upside at the three spot and swingman Tim Coenraad comes on board after a good career at NCAA D2 Nova Southeastern University.

BURNING QUESTION
Do Sav and Matty Campbell still have enough juice left in their legs to lead the Hawks to what in many eyes would be an unlikely playoff run? They’ve played a combined 896 NBL games – that’s a lot of mileage logged over the years, and given the overall talent level on this ballclub isn’t as strong as on most other teams, a great deal will be placed on the shoulders of these two outstanding veterans.

PROGNOSIS
One of the big things about this 09/10 NBL season is that there is not a single team in the eight you can point to and say they have zero chance of making the playoffs. So even though the Hawks are listed as the biggest outsider by TAB Sportsbet, it would be incredibly foolish to write them off. They’ll be difficult to handle in their home gym, particularly if they get the kind of fan support they are looking for, while McKee will be a difference-maker, Tragardh is emerging as one of the league’s best big men and Saville and Campbell provide excellent leadership. Gordie McLeod will have these guys playing hard every night; they’ll cause their share of upsets along the way and will be fighting hard for a playoff spot right to the end of the regular season.

NBL Tipoff only hours away....!!

The newly revamped NBL will kick off its regular season campaign tonight with Cairns visiting New Zealand.

As far as predictions go I look for Cairns to put up a good fight but feel in the long run the Breakers will prevail by 15+ points.

In the opening weekends other matches look for Townsville to get their season off on a winning note when they visit the Gold Coast on Friday night. Don't expect it to be a turn up and get rewarded win though as the Breakers can provide a stern test for any team. that said look for a Crocs victory by 10 points or more.

Friday's second game sees perennial playoff team Perth start their quest for an unheard of 24th straight playoff appearance when they visit Wollongong. the Hawks will be looking to carry the momentum from their Top End Challenge win into the season proper. An ambush is never out of the question in "The Gong" so the Wildcats best be ready to play. Look for a close one with Perth narrowly escaping with a victory by 8 points or less.

The final match of opening weekend has Adelaide waiting in Cairns for the Snakes on their return from NZ for a Saturday night encounter. While Adelaide will be fresh, the Snake Pit poses a tough proposition for any team so I'm going to pick Cairns by 5 in another thriller.

23 September 2009

NBL Tips Off Thursday!!

Well, it is the eve of the new NBL season that will feature eight teams playing a 24 game regular season set to finish in February of 2010.

From the NBL website, here is the most recent press release:

Go to:News

NBL season starts Thursday

September 23, 2009, 04:43 PM AEST

By: NBL

The National Basketball League tips-off its much anticipated 2009/10 season tomorrow night when title favourites the New Zealand Breakers host the Cairns Taipans at the North Shore Entertainment Centre.

Eight teams will vie for the 2009/10 NBL title, with four games in Round One. The Townsville Crocodiles will visit the Gold Coast Blaze and the Wollongong Hawks will host the Perth Wildcats on Friday night. The Taipans will also return home after Thursday’s clash with the Breakers to face the Adelaide 36ers. The Melbourne Tigers have the first round bye.

New Zealand have firmed as favourites in pre-season betting on TAB SportsBet at $3.00 to win the title, just ahead of Melbourne ($4.50) and Townsville ($6.00).

A straw poll of the NBL head coaches also pointed to New Zealand as the side to beat, with all seven opposition coaches tipping the Breakers when asked to name a team other than their own who were most likely to raise the Dr. John Raschke trophy at season’s end.

New Zealand reached the Semi Finals for the first time in their history last season and have retained the bulk of their team, including reigning league MVP Kirk Penney, while adding former NBA player Awvee Storey and talented young New Zealand Tall Blacks centre Alex Pledger.

The 2009/10 season is however predicted to be one of the closest ever, as illustrated by the fact that Wollongong are currently last in betting ($15.00) despite winning the Top End Challenge pre-season tournament in Darwin.

The Taipans come in at $11.00 to win the title but earlier in the off-season the odds of them even playing in the league looked much higher. The club was placed into administration and it was only through outstanding community support that the Taipans managed to secure their entry into the new competition.

Under rookie head coach Aaron Fearne, the Taipans will field a team that has added former Breakers star and New Zealander Phill Jones, who will undoubtedly be looking for a measure of revenge on his old team for letting him go in the off-season. The Taipans also have signed another former Breaker, in the form of American import Rich Melzer.

Like most teams in the competition, the Taipans significantly bolstered their talent levels over the Winter. With the reduction in competing teams to eight, there was a glut of free agent talent on the market and the Taipans snapped up Jones along with Melzer, former Wollongong star Dusty Rychart and American import Julien 'Skip' Mills.

The Breakers-Taipans season opener will be broadcast live on Maori TV in New Zealand and Fox Sports 2 with coverage starting at 5:00pm AEST (7:00pm NZST).

All NBL teams will play 28 games (14 home, 14 away) during the course of the regular season, with the top four clubs advancing to the 2010 NBL Finals in February 2010.

Here is a look at each team and my prognostications for the upcoming year.

First up are the Adelaide 36ers. Coach Scott Ninnis is back for his third term at the helm of the team he once played for. Coming off of a 15 win, 15 loss campaign and sixth place finish, the team will again be led by last seasons team MVP Adam Ballinger. Ballinger went to college at Michigan State and played in three NCAA Final Fours from 2000-2002. The 205cm forward will again be depended upon for consistent scoring and rebounding. Ballinger carries career averages of 18.9 points per game, 7.9 Rebounds per game and 1.2 assists per game.

Ballinger should recieve adequate support from guard Cortez Groves, additional backcourt help will be provided by newcomer John Gilchrist, the always reliable Darren Ng and Brad Hill.

Up front help will come from centre David Cooper, forwards Jacob Holmes, Matt Burston and swing man Nathan Herbert.

The Sixers will open their season on the road against the always tough Cairns Taipans on Saturday night.

I will be catching you up on more teams tomorrow...see you then.